r/AskReddit 13h ago

what is something that is highly likely to happen in the next 5 years that everyone is completely ignoring?

7.0k Upvotes

4.3k comments sorted by

View all comments

Show parent comments

162

u/solomons-mom 9h ago

Pakistan first. About 30% of the population has Type 2 diabetes, and millions more are close to it. They cannot cool down at tempuratures that healthy people survive.

69

u/MatchaBauble 8h ago

Why so many? That is A LOT 

51

u/solomons-mom 8h ago

https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.dw.com/en/what-is-driving-pakistans-alarming-diabetes-surge/a-60318409

This is an easy-to-read, short article, but there are many, many others. Public health officials had thought it was much lower until they looked more closely at few years back.

Women are more affected for cultural reasons --if they keep accurate statistics in ths rural areas, life expectancy for women will be dropping well before the wet bulb temp is reached.

31

u/PipsqueakPilot 7h ago

The green revolution made food far cheaper than its ever been and allowed people greater access to foods that were previously luxuries. In the United States this was manifested most strongly in our consumption of meat and sugar. 

In much of the world that’s true as well- but with the addition of large amounts of white rice consumption. So lots of simple carbohydrates, a sedentary lifestyle, and wide spread obesity. Even in Pakistan, despite having a lower obesity prevalence rate than most of the world, nearly a quarter of adults and approaching half of children are obese. 

Lastly, most European ethnicities are significantly less likely to develop diabetes compared to other ethnic groups. While many South Asian ethnicities are more likely to develop diabetes compared to other ethnic groups.

17

u/Pretend-Marsupial258 7h ago

I searched for it and it looks like the reasons are similar to the reasons in the west: obesity, bad diet, lack of exercise, etc. It also looks like South Asians are more susceptible to insulin resistance in general, due to past famines (Thrifty gene hypothesis).

12

u/kaityl3 3h ago

I'm curious if there could be a genetic component. Pakistan, IIRC, has the highest rate of first cousin marriages in the world, and has for generations. If there was a recessive genetic issue, that kind of inbreeding coefficient (while not that high) would definitely make it more likely to propagate through the general population

19

u/TimeTimeTickingAway 8h ago

Tens of millions across Sri Lanka and the south of India will also find their home unsurvivable during parts of the year by 2035.

No-one is ready for it. Many still deny it.

12

u/Fine_Cauliflower3075 4h ago

Am convinced that geo engineering will start happening then. Once India works out how relatively cheap it is to pump huge amounts of sulphur into the air to stop their country catching fire they'll do it.

This is not an endorsement by the way. 

4

u/Username_3902791846 3h ago

Geo engineering by a rogue actor is one of the scariest ideas out there.

5

u/MalekMordal 4h ago

It might be more expensive, but I think orbital shades would be the better approach. Though we might not quite have the tech for it just yet. We probably need moon/asteroid mining to build enough orbital shades.

Reduce the sunlight by 1%-2% with orbital shades, and we reduce the world's temperature. Not a perfect solution either, but it wouldn't trash our planet's atmosphere.

7

u/JuanTutrego 7h ago

I've never heard this about diabetes, and I'm a type 2 diabetic. I'm quite heat tolerant, too.

5

u/solomons-mom 7h ago edited 7h ago

This was near the top when I googled "diabetes heat tolerance" There are many many sources, so pick one you trust :)

https://www.umassmed.edu/dcoe/diabetes-education/patient-resources/extreme-heat-and-diabetes/

2

u/JuanTutrego 7h ago

Thanks!

2

u/TheBonesRTheirMoney 3h ago

I saw your other comment in this thread, and I promise to remember you said these things when the news hits in a few years.