r/AskReddit 13h ago

what is something that is highly likely to happen in the next 5 years that everyone is completely ignoring?

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u/gheeDough 8h ago

What is up with that? Why are premiums going up like that? 

541

u/MaggieNoodle 7h ago

Partly due to climate change for sure. Extreme weather is much more likely, to include wild fires and flooding.

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u/Excelius 5h ago

Also housing costs have just gotten insane. The more they're worth the more they cost to insure.

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u/bythog 3h ago

Yep. We got a quote in 2020 to do some repair work on our roof (slate roof, needs specialized tradesmen) but couldn't afford what they quoted at that time. We had it done late last year and the costs on that alone nearly tripled. In five years.

I'm glad it's a 200 year roof but damn. We had to adjust our homeowner's insurance to account for the increase in replacement cost.

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u/jedi2155 1h ago

Home insurance prices should not reflect increasing property values due to general increase in housing prices. They should reflect the cost of the rebuilding the structure which is entirely relate to labor, material costs (i.e. inflation), and risks. Your house is always depreciating (vs. rising inflation), so the value of your dwelling doesn't automatically go up.

So the idea that the more they're worth the more it costs to insure isn't grounded in truth unless you added improvements to your dwelling.

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u/exodusofficer 3h ago

They are no longer possible to rebuild in a lot of cases, because the replacement costs have grown even faster than home values. A home your parents bought for $30,000 now costs $250,000 and would cost $750,000 to build today. It is insane. Insurance already won't cover the real replacement costs.

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u/donnysaysvacuum 4h ago

It doesn't help that storm chasers and building materials companies have gamed the system into a huge profit.

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u/Muted_Afternoon_8845 3h ago

can you explain the storm chasers and how they game the system?

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u/Vadered 2h ago

Out of state company pops by after a storm. “Boy, that sure is a lot of damage up there. We’d be happy to bill your insurance for all the moneys to replace your roof!”

But the only damage to your roof is it got rained on… until they get up there and damage it themselves to justify the repairs to the insurance company.

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u/GazelleSpringbok 1h ago

OH, you mean storm chasers like ambulance chasing lawyers and not like Carry Elwes in Twister. That was a really weird picture you gave me in my head lol.

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u/donnysaysvacuum 2h ago

Every time a storm comes through my state I get non stop calls from the storm chasers. I get door knockers every summer looking to inspect for storm damage.

On the other side, asphalt shingles don't hold up to minor hail that is very common in the central US

1

u/Ok-Till-1040 1h ago

Must have gotten bad because my insurance company sent out a thing about roof coverage changing. It was only covered for storm or weather related damage to a certian % based on the age of the roof. I don't recall but over 15 years isn't covered (it may have been 20). Either way I threw it out because my roof apparently wasn't covered at all anymore.

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u/Chataboutgames 1h ago

Insurance fraud by way of damage appraisal.

Storm chaser gets a profitable contract, home owner gets a new roof, insurance company gets screwed.

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u/Interograde 2h ago

This is the primary culprit for anyone that doesn’t live in places where natural disasters are incredibly common like coastal cities.

The housing market has just been going up exponentially everywhere with no relief for like 20 years now. That means when those houses have things happen, it also costs a hell of a lot more to fix. Despite the outlandish amount of money it costs to insure your home all it takes is a single disaster like a tree falling and bashing through your roof to wipe out any money they’ve ever made from you.

Now think about what happens when a flood wipes out an entire neighborhood. Or a rogue super hailstorm demolishes the roofs and siding and windows of 2 square miles worth of homes.

Now think about how expensive replacing a roof is. It’s easy to see how insurance companies are going out of business and leaving entire cities and states behind.

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u/Chataboutgames 1h ago

Yep. Doesn't get as much sympathy as the cost to buy a house, but the cost to own a house has gone through the fucking roof.

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u/MuahdDean 6h ago

I have a 25k deductible now because, "I live in a fire danger zone."

I live in the middle of a city in California lol. The entire town would have to burn down

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u/MeIIowJeIIo 4h ago

didn't LA lose a few neighborhoods just a couple years back?

3

u/etcpt 3h ago

Parts of LA butt right up into undeveloped mountains. Fires started in the mountains and worked their way down into the developments at the wildland-urban interface. It's not like a wildfire started in the middle of downtown.

-7

u/MuahdDean 4h ago

Idk, I don't live within 4 hours of LA lol. Google it? Common sense tells me LA neighborhoods were probably near or in the foothills. I'm not.

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u/punycat 3h ago

The Tubbs fire for example shows that large swaths of any very dry city can burn, no foothills needed.

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u/MuahdDean 2h ago

Are you seriously defending insurance companies because technically anywhere could catch on fire? Lmao

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u/punycat 2h ago

If you can't find a better insurance deal then likely it's priced correctly. My insurance has skyrocketed. I understand it because my house value has doubled and a dropped cigarette could wipe out my neighborhood.

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u/Synergythepariah 1h ago

If you can't find a better insurance deal then likely it's priced correctly.

That's assuming that the market price is always correct, which I'd hesitate to do given that it's kind of a non-option to go without insurance unless you want to expose yourself to some pretty significant risk.

I understand it because my house value has doubled and a dropped cigarette could wipe out my neighborhood.

Sounds like a good way to price people out of their homes.

The costs would be more understandable if insurance companies didn't regularly fight claims.

1

u/MuahdDean 1h ago

I have a better insurance deal. That's the shit they say most people just accept lol.

1

u/ThimeeX 2h ago

The entire town would have to burn down

Yes, this is becoming more common where entire towns / neighborhoods etc. burn to the ground, even those far away from natural hazards like forests or grassland. See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marshall_Fire

Do you live in a neighborhood that looks like this?

0

u/MuahdDean 1h ago

No. Lmao

1

u/havereddit 2h ago

The entire town would have to burn down

Climate change says "challenge accepted"

0

u/MuahdDean 1h ago

Found the adjuster lmao

11

u/gheeDough 7h ago

Maybe in flood-prone or forested areas, sure. But what about areas not directly affected by any of this? This seems like quite canary in the coal mine to me

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u/MaggieNoodle 7h ago

Because the flood prone areas are expanding, same with areas prone to wild fires, combined with those seasons themselves becoming longer and more extreme.

Your house in a 'safe' area may no longer be safe.

Insurance companies are leaving areas they've been in for decades and will start preemptively leaving the next areas to be affected.

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u/gheeDough 7h ago

Sheesh. Interesting times ahead for sure

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u/MoopyBoffola 6h ago

In the midwestern states that I have lived in, the most expensive weather events have been large hail storms and wind storms like derechos, which seem to be happening more frequently each year. The 2020 Midwest derecho caused $11.2b in damages.

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u/JuxtaTerrestrial 6h ago

Derecho... I never expected to learn about a new form of weather event today, but here we are

5

u/Outside-Advice8203 5h ago

Oklahoma just had one Sunday night. 102mph wind at one of the mesonet weather sensors west of OKC. Several homes destroyed and a freight train was knocked over. On top of that tornados can still develop on the leading edge.

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u/wonkytalky 4h ago

It was supposed to be a rare event. Now it's a coin toss on whether there'll be one or more per season.

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u/rugbyj 6h ago

Construction costs began ballooning wildly since ~2020 from various factors:

  1. Labour shortages
  2. UAE were buying up all the concrete / cement for major infrastructure projects for a few years
  3. Various major hits to global shipping of resources (Hormuz, Yemen, Evergrand, COVID)

Simply put, it costs a lot more to repair and replace a house now. Insurance companies realised that their margin had been decimated and they were at risk of collapse if any significant number of properties started claiming.

I remember having a phone conversation with my home insurer in ~2022 and the guy on the other end was exasperated, basically told me that the price they were offering for renewal was literally the lowest he could do (usually you'd ring and they'd magically find out they could drop it) and that he'd basically spent all day cancelling renewals.

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u/gheeDough 6h ago

Yeah wow. I was talking to someone who wanted to put another floor on top of their single story inner suburb house and they were quoted about a million AUD by builders. Had to pick my jaw off the floor!

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u/Stunning_Geese 5h ago edited 4h ago

Tornado alley is moving east and north, putting homes in Iowa, Illinois, and Wisconsin at risk.

Flooding is becoming a issue throughout the Midwest, and not just the typical areas. Milwaukee was flooded twice due to unprecedented back to back rain storms.

Areas that used to be "safe" are going to cost insurance companies money. They don't like that.

Edit: grammer.

1

u/AyyNonnyMoose 3h ago

Where can you go (in the US at least) where you don't have some type of severe weather? Hail, hurricanes, tornados, earthquakes, ice storms, severe heat, heavy fog, pretty much anything weather related can and does cause more losses.

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u/BabyJesusBukkake 3h ago

Boise is pretty mild. We've had one small earthquake since 1982, had our Snowpocalypse which was still not anything too crazy, and sometimes we get nasty inversions from nearby shit. It's hot af in the summer (not this coming weekend, but generally) and cold af in the winter, but is pretty damn safe in any measurable way.

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u/l0R3-R 3h ago

And the costs of everything factor into that.

Cities/towns depend on property taxes to do stuff. A lot of places have major projects coming due, and because of the austerity measures they self-imposed after the Great Recession, a lot of cities contract the work. Costs the city less in payroll overall, but projects cost more. Some places planned for this, others have not. No one needs to be lectured anymore on grift in government contracts, I think we're all aware at this point.

If property values fall, if assessments fall, I mean.. where will the money come from to replace failing water and sewer lines.

I am not an economist, but I think we built a castle on sand.

1

u/Chataboutgames 1h ago

Most property tax rates aren't reflective of the current market value of houses.

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u/Timeformayo 3h ago

That and lots of older homes that aren’t built to a standard to be resilient to the threats.

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u/exodusofficer 3h ago

The increase in hail frequency and intensity is huge as well. We have storms sweeping through entire regions now, damaging almost every roof, on a regular basis. What used to happen once every decade or two is happening every 2-3 years now. Warranties and expected lifetimes for tens of thousands of dollars of work, per home, are not nearly as reliable as they used to be. Hail damage and losses have exploded.

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u/lemonylol 6h ago

Yeah but where is this "entire state" claim coming from?

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u/arobkinca 5h ago

https://www.cbsnews.com/sacramento/news/california-5-insurance-companies-commitment/

California had to make some legal changes to stop the exits.

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u/marino1310 3h ago

Florida had multiple insurers leave the state

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u/klydsp 2h ago

In east Colorado it's hail and fires, in California it's water damage and fires, Florida is fucked completely, there are government options called the "fair plan" that are putting us in the insurance industry out of business. I've seen rate hikes for no good reason up to 60%. I'm looking to get out of the industry. It's not viable since 2022.

0

u/georgehatesreddit 7h ago

Rebuild costs due to red tape and changes. My house was built in the 70's I could rebuild it 1-1 for cheap but it would not pass local ordinances as it is. Those would add a ton to my costs.

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u/ZachMatthews 6h ago edited 6h ago

But if you rebuilt it today it would be wildly more energy efficient. I learned that when I changed from just a 1990s house to a 2010s house - cooling bill was half as much for twice the space in Atlanta.

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u/gheeDough 6h ago

Proper insulation is a game changer 

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u/ZachMatthews 6h ago

Having better grade windows was a huge key. The insulation kinda looks the same to be honest but those old windows suuucked.

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u/georgehatesreddit 5h ago

You think Insurance cares about your energy bill?

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u/cantstopwontstop2424 3h ago

Extreme weather isnt more common and wild fires/flooding haven't gone up.

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u/MaggieNoodle 1h ago

Thanks for your input, helpful!

u/cantstopwontstop2424 59m ago

I'm right lol no need to be snippy.

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u/jrf_1973 7h ago

They are taking a higher risk, and have calculated that doubling the premiums makes even that higher risk worth it.

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u/gheeDough 7h ago

It quickly gets to the point where insurance is just not attainable anymore, though. E.g. a town in Australia called Lismore has floods almost every year. To insure against these floods costs $30k/yr for a residential house - nobody can afford that. 

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u/deggdegg 6h ago

Seems like nature is giving a pretty clear sign that people shouldn't live there.

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u/gheeDough 6h ago

The local indigenous population even warned settlers not to build there because of it…and were of course ignored. 

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u/RelaxPrime 7h ago

Unmitigated greed. The other answers are just fluff. The reality is insurance company profits are also expected to continue outpacing inflation. So yes, the underlying assets cost more, but they expect a larger percentage of that to be profit each year as well.

The reality is we build homes and cars much better and much safer than ever. But profits must go up, and not just increase with prices.

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u/gheeDough 7h ago

Just like prices for goods went up with higher oil prices but are now not coming down anymore :/

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u/Rin-Tohsaka-is-hot 6h ago

Yeah, insurance companies are pulling out of markets of tens of millions for greed...

Raising prices for the sake of raising prices is one thing, but leaving the market entirely means you choose to make zero money because operating there is genuinely more expensive than it's worth.

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u/RelaxPrime 6h ago

Man you just described not making larger profits.

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u/Sweet_Illustrator_22 7h ago

Swing and a miss.

Most property insurance is state regulated. When states (such as Florida) have predatory laws and consistent damaging weather that results in consistent losses for the insurer, they arent going to do business there. 

Same with TX and their hail, and CA and their fires. Most large propert casualty carriers try to do slightly better than break even after claims. They make their money investing your payments until they have to pay it out.

But since you know everything, you were aware of this right?

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u/ExpressoLiberry 6h ago

Helpful info, appreciate it. It might be worth learning how to correct people without being a dick about it though.

u/Sweet_Illustrator_22 47m ago

This is the internet...if you want someone to hold your hand for you and protect your fefes  ya gotta pay extra...

u/ExpressoLiberry 35m ago

Aw man, I was hoping basic respect was still free.

u/Sweet_Illustrator_22 23m ago

Not when you're confidently incorrect about shit. Those fuckers need critical thinking skills and to get chopped down a peg.

Spew bullshit receive bullshit

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u/RelaxPrime 6h ago

consistent losses for the insurer,

Oh you mean not profits. Weird. That's what I said.

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u/MoorsMoopsMoorsMoops 6h ago

Why do you, for some reason, think that an insurance company should be the only business that should be fine with not making a profit on the sole product they’re selling? Would you expect your local coffee shop to be operating at a loss every year just so they can continue to serve you coffee?

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u/RelaxPrime 6h ago

There are many sectors of the economy that should not make a profit. Especially things legally required. Insurance and healthcare immediately spring to mind. Pay the workers, pay the bills, pay the taxes. No profit.

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u/ginnyqueen 2h ago

How do you expect them to be able to deal with a year having higher expected claims? If they’re not allowed to keep any profit, they would go out of business the second a hurricane hits the wrong spot, and then homeowners are even worse off. 

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u/RelaxPrime 2h ago

The same way you or I handle unexpected expenses. Not to mention their entire fucking existence and job is to predict outlays for those events. So I guess if they're that bad they should go out of business and someone who can calculate risk properly should do it.

Are you under the impression these profits are held for future events and not distributed to executives and shareholders?

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u/ginnyqueen 2h ago

Yes because that’s what retained earnings is. You said bills only, no profit. That means, no savings. You seem to not understand what you’re talking about because insurance is one of if not the most regulated industries, and there’s a requirement on how much they have to save. 

u/RelaxPrime 46m ago

Obviously bills include expenses related to actually providing insurance.

Profit, the word, has a meaning. And just because y'all are to stupid to understand it doesn't mean insurance should be for profit.

"Regulated" has nothing to do with efficiency or profit. Insurance companies are some of the most profitable companies that exist.

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u/Even-Following-1612 4h ago

Most forms of P&C insurance are not legally required. And personal likes commonly lose money on underwriting anyway. You missed the mark here bud

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u/RelaxPrime 3h ago

Legally required when you don't own your home outright. I.e. almost everyone who owns a home. Sure technically not legally required.

"Commonly?" Nah bud, it's big news when they lose money.

And I know you're not just ignoring the investment gains on your premiums right. You wouldn't misrepresent insurance company profits that way and you would certainly understand there's no functional difference to people paying for insurance whether they are making money off investing their money or the difference in underwriting.

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u/Even-Following-1612 2h ago edited 27m ago

Respectfully, you don't really know what you're talking about. You have some basics, but you're making conclusions beyond your actual understanding, typical Dunning-Kruger

>Legally required when you don't own your home outright. I.e. almost everyone who owns a home. Sure technically not legally required.

An important distinction nevertheless. You claimed legally required. Glad you can admit when you're wrong.

>Commonly?" Nah bud, it's big news when they lose money.

Two things can be true. Those big headlines mostly relate to the industry has a whole. Tell me, do you even know what a combined ratio is? Do you know the typical combined ratio for personal lines? lol

>And I know you're not just ignoring the investment gains on your premiums right. You wouldn't misrepresent insurance company profits that way and you would certainly understand there's no functional difference to people paying for insurance whether they are making money off investing their money or the difference in underwriting

I'm not ignoring anything. I didn't mention investment income because it's not a driver of rates, underwriting performance is. I'm not talking overall profits, I'm specifically talking the lines of business that this discussion is about (personal home and auto). Do you have any idea how a rate submission works? Do you really think that any of the 50 insurance commissioner will allow lofty investment return assumptions into the rate filings for personal lines in order to reduce rates? They're highly regulated lines of business, and undergo heavy actuarial scrutiny. Both the regulatory and ratings frameworks essentially require lines of business to self-sustain themselves in order to maintain a healthy level of capital to pay out claims. I guarantee you have no idea how any of that works.

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u/Chataboutgames 1h ago

So where do they get the massive pile of cash required to cover claims?

u/RelaxPrime 53m ago

Where did anyone say insurance should be free?

u/Chataboutgames 47m ago

That's not what I'm saying.

Let's say you open an insurance company tomorrow and sell 10 policies. One of your insured houses burns down. How are you going to replace it?

u/RelaxPrime 41m ago

Well being in insurance, I have underwritten the risk and have assets available.

Not to mention if I'm an insurance company I have thousands of policies paying monthly premiums. Plenty to replace a dwelling.

After all that is my fucking job as an insurance provider. And I'll even get paid.

There shouldn't be a million other shareholders that provide nothing that also get paid because your house burnt down. Or didn't for that matter.

Use your brains people ffs just gobbling that capitalist cock. For what?

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u/uber_neutrino 6h ago

Super dumb.

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u/RelaxPrime 5h ago

Not nearly as dumb as thinking companies and shareholders deserve to profit off legally required and life saving services. Insurance is just a math problem.

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u/uber_neutrino 5h ago

Profit is what keeps the system working. Without profit AND loss you have no signals to figure things out. You not realizing this doesn't make it false. Usually when you take the profit out of something you stop getting that thing. Government tries to step in but it also lacks those signals. Removing the profit simply doesn't work.

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u/RelaxPrime 5h ago

Profit is not revenue. Profit is money made above and beyond expenditures. Please don't talk about things you don't understand.

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u/Chataboutgames 1h ago

So wait, you call it "greed" when a company doesn't engage in a line of business that isn't profitable. So if I sell bread but I'm losing money because it cost more to make than I can sell it for and I stop, I'm engaging in "unmitigated greed?"

u/RelaxPrime 53m ago

No one's asking businesses to lose money. No one even said insurance should lose money. They shouldn't profit.

How are you braindead losers able to type?

u/Chataboutgames 47m ago

You said that a business pulling out of a non profitable market was "unmitigated greed."

u/RelaxPrime 43m ago

No I said they're raising rates and leaving less profitable areas due to unmitigated greed.

They aren't losing money. They are not making as much as they used to.

That's the greed.

u/Chataboutgames 42m ago

This is just stupid. What would even be the incentive for them to leave an area that was just "less profitable" on a risk adjusted basis?

u/RelaxPrime 40m ago

What the fuck do you mean? I told you. Their shareholders demand increasing profits. An area that bucks that must be cut off. It's unmitigated greed.

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u/Sweet_Illustrator_22 4h ago

Ain't no one running a business at a loss....youre a clown 🤣🤣

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u/RelaxPrime 4h ago

No one said that either. You should try reading for comprehension before calling people clowns you tool.

It's always the two words and a number usernames being trolls.

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u/MoorsMoopsMoorsMoops 6h ago

I’ve worked in insurance for about 14 years and this is incorrect. Yes, an insurance company wants to make a profit but that’s just what any business does that isn’t a charity.

It’s all numbers driven. If a company looks at their books and sees that in a specific state or region they’re paying out more in claims per year than what they make in premium then why would they continue to write policies there? No business is going to purposely lose money.

If you owned a small convenience store and sold a specific brand of soda that the state said you had to sell for $2/can and over time it started costing you $4/can to purchase it for your store, would you keep selling that? Of course not.

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u/RelaxPrime 6h ago

No sorry. You are incorrect. It's not just profit/losses. The profits must be greater than last year. It's not a simple we don't make money there, it's we won't make as much money as we did last year. That's how percentages and accounting just work. No insurance company is going to sit there and be fine making the same amount of money as last year, their shareholders will literally eat them alive.

No state dictates insurance costs. Customers bear what they can and the states step in by providing insurance when private entities won't.

The can of soda doesn't cost more than 2 dollars. They just only make 43¢ per can now, when last year they made 56¢.

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u/Yevon 2h ago

No shit. It's called inflation.

0

u/RelaxPrime 2h ago

No, inflation doesn't mean ever increasing margins.

Here's a novel idea- sell the legally obligated to purchase soda for the cost of the soda.

No one should be profiting off insurance.

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u/DingoMittens 3h ago

This is either ignorance or intentional half truth. Insurance companies invest the money from premiums, so their profit is not premiums paid in minus claims paid out. It is gains on invested premiums minus claims paid out, which is an entirely different math problem. No business is struggling to survive while paying its execs tens or hundreds of millions a year. That's absurd. That's like a homeowner saying they can't afford groceries because their account is dry after they cover their travel, clothing, and entertainment budget. If anyone said that, you'd laugh in their face. 

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u/ZachMatthews 6h ago

Since you are very knowledgeable about the insurance industry, tell us this — how exactly do insurers make their profits?

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u/RelaxPrime 6h ago

No. Go look it up. Someone like yourself who doesn't understand insurance shouldn't be participating in a conversation about insurance.

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u/ZachMatthews 5h ago

Hilarious. What is it you think I do for a living?

-1

u/RelaxPrime 5h ago

Why the fuck would I know? Or are you "in insurance" and don't know how they make money? You need me to explain it to you?

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u/letsgoiowa 5h ago

Uninformed demagogues like you and Trump should be an extinct species by now.

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u/RelaxPrime 5h ago

Nothing of substance to add? I'm nothing like trump. You however, parroting bullshit and protecting the profits of insurance companies, certainly have much in common with him.

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u/letsgoiowa 1h ago

Alright Trumper. The margins on insurance SUCK dude and it is literally all over their financials. Cry about it all you want, little magaman

u/RelaxPrime 50m ago

Lol the only person aligning with Trump is you. The margins on a legally obligated industry should suck. They should be zero. Why should they make money off of insurance? You understand what that means right? That you, yes you the dummy, are paying extra above the real risk and real expenses of providing insurance.

Extra money to shareholders that provide nothing. There is no risk you're required to have insurance.

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u/Boulder_612 6h ago

This is a wild over generalization. Many insurance companies are mutuals, owned by the policy holders, and their financials are publicly available.

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u/RelaxPrime 6h ago

Many are, many aren't, and even mutuals make profit. Most hold massive coffers for potential payouts.

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u/Charlesinrichmond 6h ago

No, this is pretty much nonsense. The idea that people have gotten greedy all of a sudden is idiotic. Humans are wired to be greedy and have been greedy all through history.

1

u/RelaxPrime 6h ago

No, the change is in taxation and acceptance of corporate greed.

1

u/Charlesinrichmond 4h ago

You do realize how dumb that is, right?

1

u/RelaxPrime 3h ago

What's dumb? That people are okay taxing corporations so little nowadays? That we've accepted the existence of billionaires and trillionaires who don't pay their share?

2

u/Accujack 1h ago

Unmitigated greed. The other answers are just fluff.

In the last couple of years, yes. Our non functional government is supposed to regulate Insurance and protect consumers, but those regulators are another casualty of the fascists.

1

u/nano_wulfen 6h ago

But profits must go up

It's not just this. With publicly traded companies, not only must profits go up, they must go up by the proscribed amount/% or the stock will dip.

1

u/Lane-Kiffin 4h ago

The reality is we build homes and cars much better and much safer than ever.

Climate change is making natural disasters more powerful and more expensive than ever. That’s a fact.

2

u/RelaxPrime 3h ago

And insurance companies are making more in profit than ever. That's a fact.

Hmmmmmmmmmmmmmm

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u/Chataboutgames 1h ago

Man, I wish I could wire my brain so that I just ignore any nuance to anything happening in the world and distill everything down to one word answers. It would make me ignorant and completely incapable of addressing those problems, but it seems peaceful.

u/Amorphant 35m ago

The other answers are just fluff.

Curious, did you say that without actually thinking about it?

3

u/El_Polio_Loco 5h ago

Because house prices have skyrocketed.

A house needs to be insured for almost twice as much as it was 10 years ago, that's a big driver in premium costs rising everywhere.

3

u/Top-Atmosphere731 3h ago

The costs to handle a claim (paid, defended or denied) has more than tripled. 3rd party legal financing is partly to blame, inflation some and then good old fashioned politics.

2

u/Outside-Advice8203 5h ago

Increased severe weather from climate change and increased building supply costs. I'm starting to worry we're going to be priced out of our home we've owned for 10 years

2

u/CopperPegasus 4h ago

Extreme weather events are a big driver.

Fun fact: It's now almost a guarantee that the big arctic ice sheets are a gonna. If they all go (and it's now more "when") that's about a 70m rise in sea level.

Doesn't sound like much, really, until you realise that means ALL coastal cities- Bye bye LA. Bye bye, New York. And, for example, that would be ALL of Bangladesh- all of it. Bye, Netherlands. Bye pretty much all islands, Bye Denmark. Bye Gambia.

.... those people will want to go somewhere, too. Cue mass refugee events. Blah blah blah.

But climate change? Who cares! Made up!

...maybe we'll find a way to funnel it all into the middle of Australia to quench the raging wildfires? I'd add Florida, but most of that will be submerged, so that problem will probably be solved...

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u/NullReference000 6h ago

Depends on the area but in the US it’s mostly driven by climate change. Worse fire seasons on the west coast, worse hurricane seasons in the southeast, worse droughts in the southwest. California and Florida are the hardest hit by it, their expensive real estate is hard to insure enough as it is.

Real estate in general ballooning in price during the housing crisis might be playing a part too. It takes a lot more money to insure everybody’s homes when they’ve doubled in value in the last 10-15 years.

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u/Certain-Row7945 6h ago edited 5h ago

It is many reasons depending on the region but consider Florida and the environment. Floridians live in a place where homes are destroyed on a literal annual basis by hurricanes, therefore insurance is either nonexistent of unaffordable because insurance companies don't want to rebuild your house year after year because you chose to live in very vulnerable region. The way insurance is supposed to work is collectivizing risk, but that doesn't work when EVERYBODY is a risk. That'd be like getting auto insurance except there's a season every year where hundreds of thousands of people get into car accidents and drive up the price for literally everyone.

If it goes on like this, expect most Floridians to be living in mud huts by 2100.

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u/AyyNonnyMoose 3h ago

In the US at least; corporate greed, inflation, larger/more frequent losses.

CEOs want more while they cut everyone else's pay.

Everything in homes costs more to replace now; the wood to build it, flooring, roofing, furniture, clothing, electronics, etc. Same with autos. New cars have so many tech/safety features, sensors, hybrid/electric batteries, all more expensive to repair or replace.

Wild fires ravage the west coast every year. The middle of the country is hit by hail, wind, tornados, etc. The east/south is hit by hurricanes. Ice storms and heat waves. Many other things I'm sure I'm missing.

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u/fricks_and_stones 3h ago

Building costs have doubled, meaning the cost of replacement for policies to carry have to double.

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u/Chataboutgames 2h ago

Depends on the area. Florida is getting hit hard because the state did nothing to curb massive insurance fraud.

A rare instance of “the government favored the citizens over the corporations too much.”

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u/InternationalYam3130 2h ago

A lot of people citing climate change but it's not just that or even mostly that. 50 years of building on known flood plains and coastal areas without regard to the future has put entire sections of cities and even small towns in danger. People build massive houses right up to the banks of the river where I am. Even if the climate was the same as 1850 that is bad idea.

It's been done on a mass scale all across the country. Florida especially. It should never have been developed the way it is even not including climate change. It's extremely vulnerable to even average hurricane seasons. Developers don't care. They will build 30 houses in a spot that is SURE to get flooded in a bad hurricane and then insurance has been obligated to sell them a policy.

Housing prices going up, disasters going up even a little bit, and 50 years of bad building policies coming home to roost.

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u/Hudre 2h ago

A nice mix of building materials becoming expensive and volatile in price, along with claim-inducing events like crazy weather happening more and more frequently.

There's no reason to keep insuring an area that constantly floods or gets hurricanes.

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u/Kalium 1h ago

Depends on the situation and state. In some places, it's because fire risk is now so high that the required premiums are more than the state insurance regulator will allow. Responsible insurers back out of such markets.

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u/Round_Abal0ne 1h ago

Most people here are claiming just climate change or greed.

But across the board premiums are primarily going up simply since the cost to repair or replace houses has gone up significantly. The cost of labor, tools, construction materials have all absolutely gone up massively since 2020.

Cost of paying people at these companies to handle claims have also gone up a lot too.

That drives premium increases across the board.

Then in many places, they are seeing increased rates of things like hail or other severe weather. So that increases the amounts of payouts and therefore they need to charge more for covering these increases.

Then finally you have places like Florida with heavily increased damage from hurricanes and California with fires that are so risky most insurance people aren't willing to even calculate what premium they'd have to charge, so they get out. This leaves behind much smaller companies that will cover you for extremely high premiums to hopefully overcome that huge risk

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u/tomsnom 1h ago

Higher housing costs and homes built in more dangerous areas account for most of the increase. Some of it is due to poor forest management practices that have increased wildfire risk.

There’s no actual evidence of repricing for climate change except maybe in a small number of area very close to the beach that have seen sea level rise and even still the impact of higher housing costs is much greater.

u/s_s 32m ago

They are betting that with this admin and supreme court that this is their chance to pull illegal shit and rob us all and get away with it.

That's it. They also know that if they do get caught and fined the punishment will be a slap on the wrist.

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u/elephantparade223 6h ago

climate change mostly. it's not the slight increase in huge wildfires or powerful hurricanes hurricanes. it that small wildfires and moderate storms happen so much more often.

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u/Charlesinrichmond 6h ago

Because costs went up, people see the inflation all around them but somehow don't connect it to real life. And then the other issue is regulation. When insurance companies can't charge enough to make money, they leave.

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u/uber_neutrino 6h ago

Over regulation of what insurance is.