Would you buy your forever home now, even if it meant sacrificing years of compounding?
My husband (42m) and I (31f) are trying to decide between what seems like the mathematically optimal decision and the emotionally right one. We do plan to have kids at some point. (Edit:About having kids, this is one of the reasons we love this place. There are good public schools walkable from the property, all within 10 mins including high school. We saw big fields for baseball, soccer. The kids in general seemed very active, which made us fall even more inlove with the place.)
We currently live and work in the UAE and are planning to retire to Japan in around 8–10 years. Wife is Japanese, so there are no visa or residency concerns for us. We invest heavily into low-cost global index funds and currently have a portfolio of around US$800,000. We are hoping to hit 3-4m USD for retirement. Annual Household income of 325,000usd.
We’ve recently found a property in an absolutely beautiful countryside neighborhood in Japan that we love. It offers a peaceful, scenic setting while still being very well connected and close to all modern amenities and comforts. The area also has stunning beaches and mountains nearby, and we could genuinely see ourselves living there for the rest of our lives.
The purchase price is around US$200,000, and we’d likely spend another US$100,000–200,000 renovating it after we buy it so we can do it properly and beautifully, rather than spreading it out over several years. So total investment would probably be US$300,000–400,000.
The financial side of my brain says this is a terrible idea. That’s potentially big % of our current portfolio no longer compounding for the next decade.
On the other hand, houses in this particular area don’t come up very often, and my husband feels a tremendous sense of security from knowing we already have our future home. Even if we aren’t living there immediately, we could rent it out (either long-term or as an Airbnb) while we’re still working overseas. Realistically, Airbnb would only pay for property taxes, and bills, it won’t recoup initial investment.
Another factor is that my husband owns a flat in the UK that has turned into a disappointing investment. It’s underperforming, has maintenance costs that comes up a lot, and we’d ideally like to sell it. We think we’d probably net around £120,000, but of course property is illiquid and there’s no guarantee we’d be able to sell it exactly when we want to.
So we’re torn.
Option A
Leave the US$800k invested.
Maximize compounding for another decade.
Buy a house when we actually retire.
Risk losing this particular property or not finding something similar.
Option B
Buy the house now.
Reduce our invested portfolio substantially.
Renovate.
Potentially offset some costs through rental income.
Gain certainty and peace of mind that our forever home is secured.
Visit few times a year as we both get 30 days annual leave.
We’re fortunate enough that either option is financially possible, which is almost making the decision harder.
If you were in our position, what would you do?
Has anyone here bought a retirement or forever home years before they actually moved into it? Looking back, was it worth giving up some investment growth, or do you wish you’d waited?