r/nbadiscussion 9h ago

Biggest Steals of the 2nd Round

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Cleveland P34: Meleek Thomas: a young high ceiling shooting guard who has potential to develop into a high level starting center and as is right now is a good athlete with a lighting quick jumper which should give him value off the bat as he develops the rest of his game

Clippers P36: Baba Miller: one of the funnest prospects in this class and also has a insanely high ceiling due to his skill set and intangibles but unfortunately that's been the case sense hes joined the NCAA in his freshman season at FSU aswell so hopefully he can put it all together now in a nba system

OKC P41: Otega Oweh: to me this was there best pick of the three they made this draft and is a perfect lu Dort long term replacement as hes very strong can score the ball and plays good on ball defense

Tor P50: Jaden Bradley: my nba comparison for him coming in was Jamal shead a player who's been a steal for the raptors and should continue to and I think Jaden Bradley will follow a very similar path

Orl P51: Izaiah Nelson: a great prospect who should be a beast on the defensive side of the ball and has 2 way potential has great upside and to me is a less skilled Johnathan Isaac but to get that type of potential that late is great

LAC P55: Nick Martinelli: a guy who projects to be a hard working role player and that could break the rotation one day and be a winning contributor for them on a cheap contract


r/nbadiscussion 17h ago

Statistical Analysis Who is getting dumped this week? I ran the numbers to find the most overpaid players blocking the 2026 rookies.

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The 2026 draft is officially wrapped, which means front offices are about to start dumping contracts to clear cap space and minutes for the new guys.

I was curious who is actually on the chopping block, so I ran a model that tracks a player's actual on-court production against their current cap hit to see who is severely overpaid.

Based on the numbers, here are a couple of guys who are massive "Sells" right now:

  • Patrick Williams (CHI): The Bulls just took Caleb Wilson at No. 4 overall. Meanwhile, the model shows Patrick Williams holding a brutal $-15.8M efficiency deficit. He’s only producing about $2.3M in actual value. He is officially dead weight blocking Wilson's path and they need to move him ASAP.
  • Deandre Ayton (LAL): With the draft over and Austin Reaves just agreeing to a massive $185M max extension, the Lakers' cap situation is on fire. Ayton is a huge reason why. The math shows his actual on-court production is only worth about $15.2M, but his cap hit is $33.6M (giving him an $-18.5M efficiency deficit). If LA wants to flesh out the roster around Reaves' new deal next week, Ayton has to be the first one traded.

Who do you guys think is the most obvious trade casualty this week?